Market research companies have lowered the forecast value of the global semiconductor market. November 18, 2008 WSTS will be released in spring 2008 and 2009, respectively, an increase of 4.7% and 5.8% of the forecast value of a sharp decrease in the year of 2008 increased by 2.5% in 2009 to reduce by 2.2%.
The later the market growth rate is, the worse the published value will be. For example, the value of Gartner forecast in November 3rd 2008 will ensure the growth of 2.2%, growth of 1% in 2009. In November 18th, WSTS's forecast is as described above, in 2009 will be reduced by 2.2%.
After that, in November 19th the United States SIA (Semiconductor Industry Association) announced the forecast value is: in 2008 for the 2.2% and 09 year on year decrease of 5.6%. The SIA in June announced the forecast value is: in 2008 to increase by 4.3% and 09 year on year increase of 6.2%.
The reason for the sharp reduction in SIA forecast in 2009 is that the supply of goods in the two largest application areas of semiconductor demand will decline. For example, SIA expects 209 years of personal computer supply will be reduced by 5% over the previous year, a decrease of mobile phone supply by up to 6.4%.
Semiconductor market change SIA release information.
2009 semiconductor demand SIA release information.
Similarly, in November 19th the United States announced the iSuppli forecast that the market will begin to shrink in 2008. The company predicts that the market will shrink by 2% in 2008 than in 2007. According to the company's forecast in 2008, an increase of 3.5% in September, but due to poor performance in the third quarter, so the downward adjustment. In addition, the company said that after 2009 the forecast value will be announced in the near future.
Source: Nikkei BP
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