LED develops two kinds of relative elaboration: optimism and caution

Since began to focus on LED since I found, there have been two voices around about LED, one is "optimistic", they are full of confidence in the future of LED, LED to continue to rally, the pace of development of its linguistic features is the most typical LED and improve the number. Expected future market share will increase so much. Another voice with respect to "optimists" tended to be rational, is considered more current (domestic or international) market LED on a series of problems, such as the development of the industry is not required to integrate production process of products is not to be improved, the current domestic production and how to make the gap enterprises with foreign counterparts and so on.

Overall, I think this two different voices have their own reasons, can not be absolutely right and wrong judgment. The ancients said, listen to opinions. In the current market conditions, we can see the development of the LED industry from the following two perspectives:

Face the future with confidence

LED lighting lamp with long service life, high light efficiency and low power consumption with its characteristics, making it an edge when compared with the traditional lighting was also now in the country to promote energy saving and environmental protection, to create a "green low-carbon life", so I have reason to believe that LED lighting will replace the traditional lighting sooner or later, it is just a matter of time.

Another expert predicted that the next 10 years, LED lighting market will gradually mature, and the past 10 years will also be the most critical to the success of the traditional lighting to LED lighting transformation of the past 10 years. I deeply believe that, because the current LED products are widely used, from the point to the surface, from the city to the indoor lighting decorative lighting, from life to local lighting tools in the high-tech field, LED can display skills to the full and both from the external, market environment, or LED attributes of their own, are indisputably shows the LED has a "vitality".

Cautious in the face of the market

Industry prospects, but the foot of the road is not good.

The capital, according to the investment adviser released "2011-2015 China semiconductor lighting (LED) industry investment analysis and prospect forecast report" shows that as against inflationary pressures, this year the central bank has repeatedly raised the deposit reserve ratio and the benchmark interest rate, monetary policy under the influence of the actual amount of financial subsidies are difficult to obtain, at the same time, weak downstream demand, chip prices fall, the capacity utilization rate fell sharply, the manufacturers began to postpone expansion plans. Second tier chip manufacturers are faced with the lack of funds, the lack of professional and technical personnel and MOCVD equipment less problems, the pace of expansion is difficult, or face operational difficulties.

Technology, similar to other industrial products in China, the current LED products are mainly concentrated in the low-end, high-end products rare. How to narrow the gap between China's LED technology and foreign counterparts, which is related to China's LED production enterprises can be divided into the industry, a key. But from the current point of view, want to do more difficult, one is the majority of enterprises are not willing to spend so much time and energy is two, even if the occasional emergence of new, just change the shape of the product, the core technology breakthrough is still "the flower in water, the mirror month".

The business operations, China currently has more than 3 thousand LED enterprises, but most of them are in the "fight the enemy separately and alone" stage. There are two reasons: one is the industry standard in the national LED industry gradually improved, the local governments at all levels or the manufacturer operation according to their own standards, inter industry lack of product identity. Two local governments to promote the transformation of local enterprises, the introduction of preferential policies for local LED companies, such as subsidies for production equipment, in terms of tax concessions, etc.. It is due to the presence of these factors hindered the normal merger between LED enterprises in the industry, small enterprises can "muddle along", and has the advantage of enterprises is difficult to become bigger and stronger.

Combined with the above points, although the prospects of LED can be expected, but in the actual operation of the market there are still many places need to pay attention to, not blindly optimistic, overly conceited. China's current policy on LED in the continuous improvement of industry standards have also begun to implement, only the relevant enterprises engaged in research and development, do the market, LED's vision will become a reality.