With the development of semiconductor lighting technology, LED lighting products have begun to enter the field of indoor lighting. How far is the LED large-scale indoor lighting market going through? What kind of stage will it take?
2020 LED indoor lighting products market share or up to 50%
The mainland is affected by many factors, LED indoor lighting market at the same time the rapid development, it is difficult to accurately predict the product market share, in an interview with a lot of people think that to 2012 LED lighting market share could reach 10% or 2015, or can reach 30%, and in 2020 or may reach 50%. OSRAM believes that 2020 LED lighting market share or can reach 50%, and the LED design space is huge, in addition to the lighting market size continues to expand outside, will also promote the development of the relevant market, the overall market is huge.
Although there have been a variety of indoor lighting products can be seen, but many people in the industry view, as a new type of light source, the LED indoor lighting market, has just started, both the LED indoor lighting products or related technical specifications, standards, and consumers will take time to develop, the current LED indoor lighting technology, products are mature enough, it is not suitable for large-scale promotion.
As for the development stage of the mainland LED indoor lighting, Sichuan Sony light source Co., Ltd. executive vice president Zhang Li believes that the current LED indoor lighting is still in the stage of technical preparation, this stage will continue for two to three years. With the improvement of consumer awareness of LED lighting products, the establishment of the standard, standard system, mature production technology will enter the stage of relatively mature product promotion. And after 2015, with the recovery of the world economy, consumer economic affordability, and by the energy shortage, electricity prices and other effects, can be expected to promote the LED indoor lighting products will be faster LED indoor lighting market share by 2025 is likely to reach 70%~80% 'Zhang Li said.
2014 after the outbreak of LED bulb business opportunities will be quite strong
At present, LED is mainly concentrated in the indoor lighting decorative lighting, such as entertainment, commercial lighting and public lighting such as underground parking lot, star hotel corridor, has not really entered the huge market of ordinary household lighting. The main products are commercial indoor lighting lamp, down lamp, incandescent lamp bulb lamp, freezer lamp. The Ministry of industry and information technology of semiconductor lighting technology standards working group deputy leader Peng Wanhua pointed out that, according to some foreign countries to develop LED indoor lighting plan, is expected from the main push 2010-2012 commercial lighting, general lighting and will be the main push from 2012-2015, namely ordinary household lighting. From the technical point of view, the current quality of light, such as color and other aspects is not very good, and the high demand for household lighting on the light, so in recent years should not advocate residential lighting.
As the development trend of the future lighting, what is the process of LED entering the indoor lighting in a large scale, and the LED bulb is one of the most important forms of LED indoor lighting products. According to the topology Research Institute on global lighting market related research, lighting market in the short term at least until 2017, is the traditional light source, incandescent lamp, fluorescent lamp and new light sources such as LED light bulbs to dominate the market. LED bulbs still need to go through a period of time to replace a variety of mainstream traditional and energy-saving light source, the current LED bulb is still in the market introduction phase.
LED is expected in 2014 after the outbreak of the light bulb business will be quite strong, in 2018 after the demand will be significantly ahead of fluorescent light sources.
Overall, the LED lighting in the lighting market growth can be divided into three stages: before 2012, incandescent lamp, fluorescent lamp and energy-saving lamp lighting will be the main light source, and the LED price is high, in the demonstration phase, mainly to replace incandescent lamps. In, with the implementation of the policy of banning the production of incandescent lamp, the incandescent lamp will disappear in the market after 2012. This stage, the energy-saving lamp market is expected to enter the peak growth period, will occupy a major share of the lighting market. However, it is expected that by 2014, LED bulbs will be substantially replaced incandescent, fluorescent and other mature period. At the same time, the cost of LED bulbs are declining, with the increasing number of LED manufacturers in recent years, the rate of decline in prices will be faster, the outbreak of the LED market may also be ahead of 1~2 years.
LED indoor lighting market prospects beyond doubt, in the face of the market in the future, the mainland enterprises should be how to act pending the time? "At present, should strengthen the patent technology, but also certain propaganda, raise consumer awareness of LED. At the same time should also promote the standardization, standardization, and ultimately allow consumers to choose between 20~50 standard products, rather than choose among thousands of standard products, otherwise consumers will replace products can not find a lot of trouble. " Zhang Liru is saying. The general manager of NVC Shanghai R & D center well said, for enterprises, enterprises should strengthen their own research and development efforts, grasp more competitive technology. Second, we must really calm down to do a good job of products.
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