Talking about the popularity of LED lighting application schedule

LED lighting is a hot topic, more optimistic about the future of the market, have been involved in the evaluation of different, most do not want to miss a good opportunity. How to look at this market, predict the timing of the arrival of LED lighting, then I will talk about the views of the author.

LED lighting for the current energy is unfounded, no matter how you design can afford a number of data measuring instrument. Of course, not to say that can not use LED, the design of LED street lamp is also a lot of application cases, but it must be pointed out that at this stage is to say LED street lighting is a big lie! There is no mistake in the application, we have the responsibility to guide the correct entry of new friends, misled by our responsibility.

Estimated arrival time LED lighting

LED lighting arrival time depends on the price of LED, in other words depends on the speed and cut price LED. LED lighting applications, or the replacement of energy-saving lamps, depending on the speed of the development of W/lm brightness.

Now LED per W/lm development has been the same as the current energy-saving lighting, assuming that the LED brightness value is not in the development, the price is also considerable, LED lighting will coexist with the existing energy-saving lamps, of course, this may be very small. In 2002, the author of the high brightness white LED, when it was used in the skin detection CMOS lens front end light source, 3mm plug-in LED, the price is 10 yuan / only, the current LED is only $0.6, the price fell by 17 times in. 2006 purchase of a group of 1WLED, 60lm price is 24 yuan, currently only the appearance of $4, down three times in the past 6.

LED price will speed up, if the energy-saving lamps reach quite the price level, LED needs to be reduced to 1 yuan /W, this is the basic conditions for the lighting market. According to the current price forecast will be reduced to 1 yuan /W/60lm level in the next three years.

If the LED W/lm value of each developed rapidly, such as 150lm/W or higher, the cost is not higher than the current number of lamps. The current energy-saving lamps will provoke fatal disaster". The proportion will be greatly reduced, completely clear is impossible, focusing on high power W number (such as a few hundred W) point source LED lighting can not be achieved.

150lm/W is currently in the laboratory, the estimated two years can be commercialized, and then two years before a large area of commercial lighting. Real energy conservation and policy will accelerate the popularity, but at least 5 years. Don't worry about the price, the price is not you I can decide, is the market needs this process. LED lighting trend is certain, but from the point of view of the price cut in the short term will not have too good market results, even if you get the price reduction is also "fur". From the time point of view, now LED lighting research needs more investment, longer incubation period.

Themanufacturersrecommend temporarily do not use LED lighting as the main industry, as the research strategy in the future, will not cost as the main consideration, high level of cultivating high level products. The 5mmLED plug-in used as lighting is only over the recommendations as soon as possible to give up, the old package is designed for light, poor cooling conditions, serious decay. Packaging consumes too much material, seriously hindering future price reduction plans.

Judging from the current situation, 0.5W packaging is the most consistent with the LED instead of fluorescent tube. Radiation condition is easy to implement, high light efficiency, greatly reduce the cost of SMD package than 5mm flat.

What time will the peak to LED lighting application

In fact, it is difficult to have accurate time, can only be about, affected by more factors. Personally think that the price is the main factor, when the LED and the existing energy-saving lamps equal light efficiency, only the price will make the LED in the field of lighting with the existing lamps. Don't know what users really cannot read or intentionally, I interpret out of context! We take LED daylight tube, some manufacturers in order to reduce the cost has been used to 2 cents below the price of LED, and it is difficult to have the price of space, because these 5mmLED basic material cost. According to a lamp with 200pcs 0.2 yuan total price of $40, with the power of 1WLED 12pcs, is currently a bit expensive, but it is possible to drop to a $1.

Of course, there are objections, some netizens said how can be reduced to 1 yuan. Forum opinion is difficult to unify, I believe that will be. 5mm status and 1WLED decay differ by an order of magnitude, the world recognized the fact that the netizen said, I don't know LED, his will, his 5mm as a high power light good. But now he has not seen LED. The design of heat dissipation is not and will not be a problem, the design also need to consider the cost of heat!

I agree with the user that the lighting began to use time around 2012. In recent years will improve the line structure, the appearance of ID design, the formation of a more perfect lighting control system, LED prices fall. In 2015 there is no mandatory policy introduced, LED lighting is difficult to have absolute advantage. It is often said that some countries stop incandescent production to be associated with LED, misleading the public! The actual impact of LED lighting process is not incandescent, the key is where we put the existing energy-saving lamps. The implementation of energy-saving lamps for more than 10 years, said it has stopped production of incandescent lamp, energy-saving lamps visible life period how long?

The formation of lighting control system more perfect, will enable LED to accelerate into the thousands of households. There has been a company in the home lighting system research, did not allow the public to accept. The reason for this is that there are too many types of light sources and different dimming modes. Most of the existing lamp drivers do not support the dimming interface, which gives LED