According to a survey by South Korea's UBI market, the OLED panel will be close to LED next year. The report said that although the 2015 OLED lighting market will remain very small, but its performance will be close to LED, UBI predicted that the OLED panel next year will reach 100LM / W and 30000 hours of service life. The report believes that the performance of the upgrade will encourage rapid growth in the OLED lighting market is expected to reach $4 billion 700 million in 2020.
But the reporter asked a number of lighting manufacturers, whether to agree with the report's forecast, some people think that the progress of OLED will not be very fast. OSRAM OLED Product Manager Karsten Diekmann said: "market research is a complex project, it is difficult to say what will happen in 5 to 10 years. Our key performance year is 2016, we expect to break through the 100lm / W barrier and be able to compete with LED technology. This year at the Frankfurt exhibition we show a 65 LM / W OLED, which achieves the performance of compact fluorescent lamps are the same, but unfortunately nobody is interested in the performance level of energy-saving lamps, can show the performance of LED is the real benchmark. "
OLED is catching up, Diekmann believes that OLED's technological progress is two times faster than LED. Since OSRAM launched in 2010 200lm / W, 5000 hours of life L50 OLED has made great progress, today's L70 OLED has reached 65lm / W and a life of 15000 hours, the brightness has also increased by a factor of 3. These are compared to LED, need to return six or seven years to see the performance doubled. He also pointed out that LED has a much greater loss when compared to OLED when it comes to thermal and optical properties. The optical loss and heat loss of the LED should be considered. Therefore, on a system level, it is expected that OLED will be able to compete with LED in two years.
Of course, the price is another matter, Diekmann predicts that OLED can compete with LED in price at least until 2018, even in 2020. And it also depends on how to adapt to the market in previous years. Diekmann said: "our goal is clear, OLED must be competitive in terms of price, in order to achieve success in the lighting market. After two years to achieve good technical performance, does not mean that we can start selling OLED to LED with the same price, first of all, we need high quality projects and new infrastructure, standardization work, and can only be the beginning of large-scale economic OLED. "
OSRAM hopes that the automotive industry will drive the OLED market, and promote cost reduction, the realization of the general lighting market. "We believe that the OEM manufacturers in the automotive industry desperately looking for opportunities to make a difference, hoping to create a brand image with light," Diekelmann said, "they will be the first batch of users of OLED technology. With this in mind, we can increase the size of our economy, and then let the OLED into the general lighting market. "
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