LED universal imminent core technology needs to be solved

In March this year, Shenzhen announced the abolition of LED industry planning policy, the outside world was interpreted as to avoid the second photovoltaic industry".

But industry experts believe that the huge space for the growth of the LED industry, becoming the second PV impossible. The reason is that LED belongs to consumer electronics, consumer electronics is the biggest feature of a wide range of applications, the market is extremely broad.

According to authoritative forecasts, by 2020 the global lighting market size will be more than 150 billion U.S. dollars, compared with $134 billion in 2010, an increase of $11.9%. Although the overall growth of the scale is not large, but the lighting product structure will change significantly. Among them, LED lighting market share will increase from $5 billion in 2010 to $75 billion. That is to say 10 years of expansion of 15 times.

According to the reporter, from the point of view of the situation, this year, LED backlight and lighting market demand, chip, packaging and application vendors full orders.

Some entrepreneurs and industry analysts believe that the outbreak of LED will open in the fourth quarter of this year, will usher in the next seven to eight years of prosperity.

In addition, according to the relevant data show that the current global LED lighting penetration rate of only 10%, to 2015 or late in 2020, penetration reached 50%.

In fact, due to the high cost of chips and heat materials, for a long time, LED products, especially the breadth of the application of lighting products have been constrained. Relevant data show that in early 2013, the cost of LED lighting is an ordinary energy-saving lamps 7~8 times, with dimming function of energy-saving lamps 2 times.

LED dealers said that the current large-scale application of LED lighting products hinder a major factor is the price, once the cost of LED lamps fell sharply, is bound to promote the popularity of LED lighting products.

According to the reporter, LED lighting can save a lot of space. For example, the future of the chip is expected to continue to decline by 20%, cooling aluminum can save up to 30%.

Quote from the merchant confirms this point. According to May 2013 Jingdong mall data, a lighting brand 800 lumens of the product (equivalent 60W incandescent lamp brightness) price of only $50, equivalent to $10 / thousand lumens. If taking into account the factors of export tax rebates, export price of about $9 / thousand lumens. This is already with the dimming function of energy-saving lamps "meet as equals.".

Huaxi Securities analyst Gu Huaihuai is expected in the research report, LED light source can be dropped to $15 / 2014 lumens in the early part of the Asia Pacific region, the price of light source lighting manufacturers may fall to $8 / thousand lumens. About 2~3 years later, the cost of LED lighting products will drop to a critical replacement point for the large-scale replacement of the global energy saving lamp ($5).

He concluded that the LED lighting market may erupt in the fourth quarter of this year or the first quarter of next year.

Although the LED industry in recent years, showing a blowout of the situation, but China's enterprises in the core technology and patents is quite deficient, long-term restricting the development of the whole LED industry, and even the core chip of some small and medium-sized enterprises are also dependent on foreign imports. With the continuous expansion of the scale of the industry, technology patents will become the lifeblood of the development of enterprises.

Faced with such a broad market, China's enterprises should not only stare at the scale expansion, but should be practicing internal strength, master the core technology, in order to occupy a larger market share.