LED lighting usher in the application of the peak

LED lighting is a hot topic, more optimistic about the future of the market, have been involved in, reviews, most still want to don't miss the opportunity. How to look at this market, estimates the timing of the arrival of LED lighting, the next will talk about his own views.

LED lighting for the current energy is unfounded, no matter how you can afford the instrument design data measurement. Of course I am not saying that you do not use LED design LED lamp at present there are many application cases, but it must be pointed out that at this stage of LED energy-saving lamps, is a big lie! No wrong. We have a responsibility to guide new entrants to friends, misguided is our responsibility.

Estimated time of arrival of LED lighting

LED lighting arrival time depends on the price of LED, in other words depends on the LED price reduction rate and.LED lighting applications share or replace energy-saving lamps speed depends on the W/LM value of brightness development speed.

Now each LED W/LM value and energy-saving lighting current development has been quite, assuming the LED brightness value stop in the development, the price is quite, LED lighting will coexist with the current energy-saving lamps, of course, this may be very small. I started to contact the high brightness white LED in 2002, was used in the detection of skin CMOS the front end of the lens light source, 3mm plug-in LED, the price is 10 yuan / only, at present is only 0.6 yuan LED, the price has dropped 17 times in 6 years.2006 years purchasing a batch of 1W LED about 60LM, the price is 24 yuan, at present only like 6 yuan, down 4 times three years.

LED price cuts will speed up, if you reach a considerable level of energy-saving lamps, LED needs to be reduced to 1 yuan /W, which is the basic conditions for the lighting market, according to the current price reduction rate is expected to drop to $1 /W/60LM level in the next three years.

If the LED value of each W/LM is developing rapidly, such as 150LM/W or higher, the cost is not higher than the current number of lamps. The current energy-saving lamps will provoke fatal disaster. The proportion was significantly reduced, complete removal is not possible, focus on high power W number (such as hundreds of W) point source LED lighting can not be achieved.

150LM/W is currently in the laboratory, estimated two years can be commercialized, then two years can large area lighting commercialization. Energy saving and real policy will accelerate the popularization, but requires a minimum of 5 years. Don't worry about your price, you can decide the price I need, is the market trend of the process of.LED lighting, but from the price of time destined to the short term will not have a very good market results, even if you try to get the price is "fur". From the point of view of time, now of LED lighting needs more investment, long incubation period.

Recommended that manufacturers do not will LED lighting as the main industry, as the research strategy in the future, will not cost as the main consideration, high level of cultivating high level products. At present LED plug-in 5mm as the lighting is excessive, the recommendations as soon as possible to give up, the old package is designed for light, poor cooling conditions, attenuation serious. Packaging consumes too much material, a serious impediment to the future sale plan.

From the current situation, the 0.5W package is the most consistent with the LED to replace the fluorescent lamp tube. Radiation condition is easy to implement, high light efficiency, greatly reduce the cost of SMD package than 5mm flat.

LED lighting will be applied to the peak time

Actually it is difficult to have accurate time, only is probably affected by many factors. I personally think that the price is the main factor, when LED and the existing energy-saving lamps light efficiency is equal, the price will only make the LED in the field of lighting and existing lamps. Users don't know racing together bridle to bridle really cannot read or intentionally, I interpret out of context. Mean! We get the LED fluorescent tube, some manufacturers have to use in order to reduce the cost of 2 cents below the price of LED, basically is very difficult to have room for the price, because of the 5mm LED left. According to the basic material cost of a lamp tube 200pcs is 0.2 yuan of the total price of 40 yuan, with the power of 12pcs 1W LED, there is a little more expensive, but all can be reduced to 1 yuan a.

Of course there are objections, some netizens said how can be reduced to 1 yuan. It is difficult to unify the views of the forum, I think will present.5mm and 1W LED decay is an order of magnitude, the world recognized the fact that the netizen said, I don't know LED, his will 5mm, as his high power light good. However it has not seen his LED. design is not heat will not, also need to consider the cost of heat dissipation design!

I agree with the netizen said lighting began to use around 2012. This year will improve the circuit structure, the appearance of ID design, the formation of the lighting control system more perfect, LED price competitive. In 2015 before the introduction of the policy of compulsory, LED lighting will be very difficult to have an absolute advantage. Some people tend to share some countries to stop the incandescent lamp production associated with the LED, mislead the public! The actual impact of LED lighting process is not the incandescent lamp, the key is that we put the existing energy-saving lamps placed in what position. Implementation of energy-saving lamps for more than 10 years, said it has stopped production of incandescent lamp, energy-saving lamps visible life period how long?

The formation of the lighting control system more perfect, will enable LED to accelerate into the thousands of households. There has been research in home lighting system, are not able to allow the public to accept. The reason is the type of light is too much, need to adjust the light in different ways, it is difficult to unity. The drive does not support the most dimming interface with existing a lamp, which brings great opportunity for development to LED, because LED is the most suitable light source light. We carefully understand LED driver chip users can easily find all the LED drive IC will have PWM interface, increase the technology now cost PWM will not change the line.

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