International oil prices high LED lighting era will come?

Recently, the international crude oil prices hit a record high, the New York Mercantile Exchange crude oil price has exceeded $140 mark, OPEC President Chakib KhELil said before add fuel to the flames before the end of 2008, estimated the price could reach $170. This is for inflation, bitter lurch of the global economy, and bring more shadow.

New energy demand increased sharply at least 5~10 years of preparation time

The development of new energy, was originally intended to carry out gradually in 2015~2030 years, but by the oil price soaring, the development of new energy and new energy saving technology is highly valued, all countries have to accelerate the development of action. However, the new technology including solar, wind, geothermal, wave and hydrogen energy power generation, still has the conversion efficiency of commercial subject, to be truly universal may be 10~20 years time, even if is to build nuclear power plants, nearly 10 years from programming to run, so embarked on energy-saving technology development. For governments and enterprises attach importance to the latest focus.

Not only the rise in oil prices, even if it is identified as the earth still has abundant reserves, at least for the consumption of more than 300 years of coal prices also rose sharply, compared with 2007 also rose more than 5~6, the warming of the earth pressure and high energy costs, now many IT appliances and vehicles the slogan is "energy saving" and "love the earth".

LED lighting development space

In the IT industry perspective, has always been a solution to find a compromise in the performance, price and energy saving, heat the several issues, along with the electricity price rising, energy-saving concept of related products and market, has long been the IT industry that is actively developing field layout.

A LED lighting belongs to solid-state lighting, with environmental protection, small volume, long life, fast response and other advantages than the traditional way of lighting, but also is more important than traditional lighting with power-saving features, at least more than 40% of power, so it is regarded as the next generation of lighting.

Japan hopes in 2015, LED lighting can replace the traditional Japanese current lighting using incandescent light bulbs, fluorescent lamp and high pressure sodium lamp, Japan LED lighting to promote the latest survey protocol in 2008, Japan LED lighting market have the opportunity to reach 800 billion yen (about $7 billion 500 million) scale, by 2020, is toward the development of a breakthrough of the traditional lamp category, play LED lighting special benefits of new applications, the scale of the market for the forecast period is too long, the industry view is 1 trillion and 200 billion ~2.1 trillion yen range, in any case, compared to Japan's current lighting and lighting market size 800 billion ~9000 billion yen, LED lighting has created the opportunity for development of a more than 2 times the growth of the market.

South Korea 97% dependent on imports of energy, light energy imports in South Korea in 2007 that cost more than $90 billion, so, South Korea in the high efficiency motors, lighting, energy label and household appliances can strengthen standby power, take a positive attitude. In the lighting, South Korea in addition to actively encourage the transformation of the traditional light source is a light bulb outside the province (75~80% power), also in the development of LED lighting, hope in 2015 by LED lamps, can replace the 30% South Korean lighting demand.

China's mainland and Taiwan area in the LED has made positive development plan, the mainland of China because the problem has a strong demand for energy, so basically starting from the energy point of view, the main city, province requirements to reduce energy consumption per year 5% goals; and China's Taiwan region is mainly focus on the production, in the hope of semiconductor, LCD, to set up another trillion yuan of industrial output value of NT in the field of LED.

Development of LED lighting still need to work together downstream

The current development of LED components and the power supply circuit, lighting efficiency, LED lighting is optimistic, because the LED component on the market at present the luminous efficiency reaches 70 lm/W, is expected to reach 150 in 2015 to lm/W level, plus LED depreciation cost in 2007~ 2015 will also be reduced by more than 70%, so in 2015, LED light source will have the opportunity cost is reduced to 1/10 in 2007, even if the need to take into account the driver IC and the cost of the products, but the proportion of the cost of materials accounted for LED lamps about 1/3 LED light source can greatly reduce cost if the recovery period, will be available from the 3~4 reduced to less than 1.5 years, if the price of oil electric continued soaring ahead of the arrival of the era of LED lighting is not impossible.

However, LED lighting is a free to enter easily the success of the industry, PHILPS (Philips) spends approximately $8 billion in 2006~2007 years, a lot of mergers and acquisitions of lighting manufacturers, to grasp the market and channels, and manufacturers in mainland China and Taiwan region in the patent dispute will continue to compete with overseas manufacturers, lighting is not a standardized commodity market, pay attention to the channel, customer relationship and trust, so the area of Dachang (local king) play an important role in China's mainland and Taiwan area to progress in LED lighting, must compete with international companies not only in the upstream, midstream, technology and market development at home and abroad to cooperate with the downstream the industry, will be key to the more important.

Source: DIGITIMES