Forecast: 2011 LED lighting penetration rate will reach 10%

Decline in prices and the upstream chip luminous efficiency to enhance the background, LED in the field of lighting development attracted a lot of attention from investors. Insiders pointed out that although LED lighting output accounted for the overall lighting market value in 2010 is about 3.2%, but in 2011 the penetration rate is expected to reach 10%, in 2013 the global LED lighting penetration value will further increase to nearly 20%. Capacity expansion accelerated chip prices fell in 2010, large-scale chip production is a major bright spot in the LED industry. Industry research firm LEDinside said that in the next few years, China plans to increase the number of LED equipment MOCVD more than 1200 units, of which the number of plans to increase the number of MOCVD in 2010 more than 300 units. However, at the same time, the expected LED output continues to expand, the market for the rapid increase in the capacity of the LED chip may also be caused by the existence of excess worry. LEDinside pointed out that in the three quarter of 2010, LED chip prices have begun to decline. Among them, the large size panel applications LED decline of about 11%-16%, and the highpowerLED lighting applications decline more than 17%, the main specifications of the 100-120lm part, a drop of 20%; is expected in the four quarter LED chip still has about 10% of the decline. It is understood that the Taiwan region as one of the main production base of the global LED chip, its overall upstream chip factory revenue in November fell by 2.8% compared to October. In addition, technology is also one of the reasons to promote LED chip prices lower. According to reports, the United States Department of energy LED, 140lm/W target for 2010, to 2020 LED luminous efficiency will reach 243lm/W. LED lighting will enter the homes of ordinary people in 2010 three quarter LED chip price fell sharply, has brought opportunities for the packaging and application of downstream enterprises, after the TV backlight lighting is expected to become an important application field of LED new industry. Professional research institutions DIGITIMESResearch pointed out that although the total market value of LED lighting lighting is still relatively small, estimated at 3.2% in 2010, but LED lighting has become one of the main development policies in many countries, under the promotion of national policy, LED lighting output will quickly upgrade. The incandescent lamp will be within the scope of the global cut-off lock up in 2012, LED lighting shipments will grow significantly, the estimated value of up to approximately $8 billion in value, the global LED lighting market penetration rate in 2011 will exceed 10%. DIGITIMES predicts that in 2011 the global LED bulb sales will reach 600 million, with the 40W and 60W in 2013, the traditional light bulb into the elimination process, the estimated size of the LED bulb market up to 2 billion 500 million. In addition, following the LED bulb, many industry has also developed LED lamp manufacturers, LED lamp price per year more than 3 decline in the future, plus the LED luminous efficiency significantly improved, DIGITIMES LED lamp 2013 estimated shipments will reach 260 million. The agency also pointed out that in 2012, LED manufacturers began to attack the general lighting market, many countries began to affect the replacement of LED lights and LED lighting the annual price decline of 30% other factors, in 2013 the global LED lighting penetration value will further increase to nearly 20%.