2013 China LED industry growth is expected

2012 is a year of ups and downs in the development of the LED industry, although the international macroeconomic situation continues to turbulence, the domestic industry investment situation is still grim, but China's LED industry sectors still maintain a certain growth rate. The first quarter of 2013, the overall growth of China's semiconductor lighting industry has become the industry one of the most concerned problems, according to the survey, most of the industry LED industry on the whole 2013 growth forecast is more optimistic, among them, 37% of respondents believe that in 2013 China's semiconductor lighting industry will maintain a growth in 20% ~ 30% the growth rate, basically unchanged from 2012; 29% of the respondents believe that the growth will slow down, the industrial production rate will remain at 10% ~ 20%; 16% of the respondents chose the growth rate in the 30% to 50%; in addition, there are nearly 10% of the respondents predicted a growth rate of over 50%.

The reason for optimism is that, first, the policy environment has become the main driving force of industrial development at this stage. In recent years, the national policy has been tilted to the application side, coupled with the rapid growth of China's LED market, at present, China has become the semiconductor lighting application potential and the world's most concerned about the market. Boost application demonstration project and other favorable policies to lead the direction of application and promotion of LED products in the next step, but also the development of China's semiconductor lighting industry has continued momentum in the market and policy under the two driving wheels. According to the alliance national semiconductor lighting project (CSA) statistical data show that in 2012 the scale of the industry reached 192 billion yuan, representing an increase of 23% in 2011 to 156 billion yuan, although the growth rate has slowed, but the key technology breakthroughs, the increase in 2013 is expected to maintain a relatively long face. With the expected echoes, the LED lighting market since the second half of 2011 has been in the doldrums, the majority of respondents expressed optimism that with the emergence of LED lighting technology progress and policy support and other positive factors, the possibility of a large market.

Second, in recent years, China's LED lighting industry investment has been showing rapid growth trend, although in 2012 the investment structure change, epitaxial chip investment accounted for significantly decreased, and the application of investment has increased dramatically, and thus become the most concentrated industrial sectors for semiconductor lighting package of investment, investment, but in this survey in 2013 China's LED lighting industry investment, or nearly half of the respondents think that there is a structural investment overheating in 2013 China's LED lighting industry, 30% of the respondents think that the existence of the overall overheating phenomenon, but only 16% of respondents believe that the amount of investment and demand in 2013, (Figure 2). A lot of money into the semiconductor lighting industry, pushing up the rate of development of the industry, at the same time raises concerns about overheating investment, but anyway, with the adjustment of the investment structure in 2012, China's semiconductor lighting industry investment will become more rational, more prominent application areas of competitive advantage, is conducive to further enhance the comprehensive competitiveness of the semiconductor lighting industry of our country.